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Early 2011 Emmy Predictions: Here's Who Will Win

Jonathan Teigland Jonathan Teigland
August 20th, 2011 6:00pm EDT

It may be a little early to predict the Emmy winners, but unlike the Oscars, not much changes in the Emmy Awards season once the nominations are out.  
 
The Emmys can be very tough to predict, but we'll take our best shot.  Here's who we think will go home with the gold on Sept. 18th.  Do you agree?


 Outstanding Drama Series
'Boardwalk Empire'
'Dexter'
'Friday Night Lights'
'Game of Thrones'
'The Good Wife'
'Mad Men'

Mad Men


After yet another outstanding season, it looks like 'Mad Men' may make it four in a row.  Its only real competition is 'Boardwalk Empire,' which took the Golden Globe, and possibly a farewell vote for 'Friday Night Lights.'  'Mad Men' is still the best bet, though.


Outstanding Comedy Series

'Big Bang Theory'
'Glee'
'Modern Family'
'The Office'
'Parks and Recreation'
'30 Rock'

Modern Family
 
Really, does anything have a shot against 'Modern Family'?  Last year's winner had a stellar season that was even better than its first.  'Glee' and '30 Rock' have likely peaked, and the only dark horse is the never-before-nominated 'The Big Bang Theory.'
 
Outstanding Actress in a Drama

Kathy Bates, 'Harry's Law'
Connie Britton, 'Friday Night Lights'
Mireille Enos, 'The Killing'
Mariska Hargitay, 'Law and Order: SVU'
Julianna Margulies, 'The Good Wife'
Elisabeth Moss, 'Mad Men'
 
This is a tough one.  It's probably down to Elisabeth Moss and Julianna Margulies.  Neither has ever won for their respective shows.  Margulies was a favorite last year, but lost out to Kyra Sedgwick, who was snubbed this year.  But Moss submitted the stellar 'The Suitcase' episode of 'Mad Men' that showcased some of the best acting of the season, period.  It's close, but I'll go with Moss.
 
Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Drama

Kelly Macdonald, 'Boardwalk Empire'
Archie Panjabi, 'The Good Wife'
Christine Baranski, 'The Good Wife'
Margo Martindale, 'Justified'
Michelle Forbes, 'The Killing'
Christina Hendricks, 'Mad Men'
 
This category is also difficult to predict.  Archie Panjabi could easily repeat from her surprise win last year, but she'd have to top Margo Martindale, who rode a wave of critical praise to a nomination.  'Justified' isn't likely to win in many categories, but this is its best shot.
 
Outstanding Actor in a Drama
Steve Buscemi, 'Boardwalk Empire'
Kyle Chandler, 'Friday Night Lights'
Michael C. Hall, 'Dexter'
Jon Hamm, 'Mad Men'
Hugh Laurie, 'House'
Timothy Olyphant, 'Justified'

Jon Hamm
 
Jon Hamm has never won an Emmy.  And like his co-star Moss, he's got a tremendous acting showcase in 'The Suitcase' episode of 'Mad Men.'  Steve Buscemi is his only real competition, but I'd be surprised if he prevailed.  In his acceptance speech, Hamm should thank the winner of the last three years, Bryan Cranston of 'Breaking Bad,' who was not eligible to be nominated this year because no new episodes aired.
 
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama

Peter Dinklage, 'Game of Thrones'
Josh Charles, 'The Good Wife'
Alan Cumming, 'The Good Wife'
Walton Goggins, 'Justified'
John Slattery, 'Mad Men'
Andrew Braugher, 'Men of a Certain Age'
 
Now here's a wide open category. Either 'Good Wife' actor could take it, and Dinklage could ride the 'Game of Thrones' wave.  But I'd bet on Slattery, who is so good on 'Mad Men' but has yet to take home the trophy.
 
Outstanding Actress in a Comedy
Edie Falco, 'Nurse Jackie'
Tina Fey, '30 Rock'
Laura Linney, 'The Big C'
Melissa McCarthy, 'Mike & Molly'
Martha Plimpton, 'Raising Hope'
Amy Poehler, 'Parks and Recreation'
 
I'd love to see Plimpton prevail here, but repeat after me: Laura Linney has never lost an Emmy.  She's three-for-three, and is nominated again for a much-heralded performance.  Don't bet against her.
 
Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Comedy
Jane Lynch, 'Glee'
Betty White, 'Hot In Cleveland'
Julie Bowen, 'Modern Family'
Sofia Vergara, 'Modern Family'
Kristen Wiig, 'Saturday Night Live'
Jane Krakowski, '30 Rock'

Betty White
 
The only person who doesn't really have a shot here is Krakowski.  Wiig could get a thank you from Emmy voters for her work in the film 'Bridesmaids.'  Both 'Modern Family' women are hilarious.  But the race probably comes down to Lynch, who won this category last year, and White, who is so loved voters may have a hard time turning her down.  As with Linney, don't bet against her.
 
Outstanding Actor in a Comedy

Alec Baldwin, '30 Rock'
Louis C.K., 'Louie'
Steve Carell, 'The Office'
Johnny Galecki, 'The Big Bang Theory'
Matt LeBlanc, 'Episodes'
Jim Parsons, 'The Big Bang Theory'
 
Parsons and Baldwin could always win this category, and they both have.  But this is the last chance for Carell, who has never won.  He gave a funny and moving performance in his final episodes, and voters may finally reward him for it.
 
Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Comedy

Chris Colfer, 'Glee'
Jesse Tyler Ferguson, 'Modern Family'
Ed O'Neill, 'Modern Family'
Eric Stonestreet, 'Modern Family'
Ty Burrell, 'Modern Family'
Jon Cryer, 'Two and a Half Men'
 
Ooof, this is a tough one.  Any 'Modern Family' actor could win, and they're all terrific.  But perhaps they'll cancel each other out and leave Colfer the victor.  He had a meaty role this season and handled it very well.  Let's go with that.
 
Outstanding Variety, Comedy Or Musical Series

'The Colbert Report'
'Conan'
'The Daily Show With Jon Stewart'
'Late Night With Jimmy Fallon'
'Real Time With Bill Maher'
'Saturday Night Live'
 
'The Daily Show' wins, like, every time.
 
Outstanding Reality Show

'The Amazing Race'
'American Idol'
'Dancing With the Stars'
'Project Runway'
'So You Think You Can Dance'
'Top Chef'

Top Chef
 
'The Amazing Race' had a stranglehold on this category for several years - until it was topped by 'Top Chef.'  Look for it to repeat.
 
Outstanding TV Miniseries or Movie
'Cinema Verite'
'Downton Abbey'
'The Kennedys'
'Mildred Pierce'
'The Pillars of the Earth'
'Too Big To Fail'
 
Emmy voters love PBS dramas, and 'Downton Abbey' is one of the most loved PBS shows in years.  But it's up against 'Mildred Pierce,' which received a whopping 21 nominations this year, more than any other program.
 
Outstanding Guest Actor In A Comedy

Idris Elba, 'The Big C'
Nathan Lane, 'Modern Family'
Zach Galifianakis, 'Saturday Night Live'
Justin Timberlake, 'Saturday Night Live'
Matt Damon, '30 Rock'
Will Arnett, '30 Rock'
 
Voters love Timberlake.  He's won for hosting 'SNL' before, and he might very well again.
 
Outstanding Guest Actress In A Comedy

Kristin Chenoweth, 'Glee'
Dot-Marie Jones, 'Glee'
Gwyneth Paltrow, 'Glee'
Cloris Leachman, 'Raising Hope'
Tina Fey, 'Saturday Night Live'
Elizabeth Banks, '30 Rock'

Gwyneth Paltrow
 
Some people found her annoying, but most agree Paltrow was funny and a decent singer on 'Glee.'  The only one who can topple her is perrenial nominee Leachman.  It could happen.


Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series
Michael J. Fox, 'The Good Wife'
Paul McCrane, 'Harry's Law'
Jeremy Davies, 'Justified'
Robert Morse, 'Mad Men'
Beau Bridges, 'Brothers & Sisters'
Bruce Dern, 'Big Love'
 
Fox has already won five Emmys, and recently won for a guest appearance on 'Rescue Me.'  Here comes number six.
 
Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series
Joan Cusack, 'Shameless'
Julia Stiles, 'Dexter'
Randee Heller, 'Mad Men'
Alfre Woodard, 'True Blood'
Mary McDonnell, 'The Closer'
Loretta Devine, 'Grey's Anatomy'
Cara Buono, 'Mad Men'
 
Cusack has never won an Emmy, and her prominent role on 'Shameless' may finally get her the gold.


Outstanding Leading Actress in a Mini-series or Movie
Kate Winslet, 'Mildred Pierce'
Elizabeth McGovern, 'Downton Abbey'
Diane Lane, 'Cinema Verite'
Taraji P. Henson, 'Taken From Me: The Tiffany Rubin Story'
Jean Marsh, 'Upstairs Downstairs'
 
Duh.

Mildred Pierce
 
Outstanding Leading Actor in an Mini-Series or Movie

Greg Kinnear, The Kennedys
Barry Pepper, The Kennedys
Edgar Ramirez, Carlos
William Hurt, Too Big To Fail
Idris Elba, Luther
Laurence Fishburne, Thurgood
 
Some people say Ramirez would have been nominated for an Oscar if he'd been eligible.
 
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Mini-series or Movie
Guy Pearce, 'Mildred Pierce'
Bryan F. O'Byrne, 'Mildred Pierce'
Tom Wilkinson, 'The Kennedys'
Paul Giamatti, 'Too Big to Fail'
James Woods, 'Too Big to Fail'
 
Pearce will keep riding with 'Mildred Pearce.'
 
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Mini-series or Movie
Evan Rachel Wood, 'Mildred Pierce'
Melissa Leo, 'Mildred Pierce'
Mare Winningham, 'Mildred Pierce'
Maggie Smith, 'Downton Abbey'
Eileen Atkins, 'Upstairs Downstairs'
 
Smith may prevail if the 'Mildred Pearce' ladies cancel each other out.  But Wood had a meaty role, and voters always enjoy giving the statue to a movie star.

© 2011 Starpulse.com
Photo Credits: Rainbow Media Holdings; American Broadcasting Companies Inc.; TV Land; NBC Universal Inc.; Bob Charlotte; HBO


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